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指标体系 2

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参数变化，参数收益率，多目标优化，切比雪夫仿射，自适应加权和， 1

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Smart model for accurate estimation of solar radiation

Lazhar ACHOUR, Malek BOUHARKAT, Ouarda ASSAS, Omar BEHAR

《能源前沿（英文）》 2020年第14卷第2期页码 383-399 doi: 10.1007/s11708-017-0505-3

摘要： Prediction of solar radiation has drawn increasing attention in the recent years. This is because of the lack of solar radiation measurement stations. In the present work, 14 solar radiation models have been used to assess monthly global solar radiation on a horizontal surface as function of three parameters: extraterrestrial solar irradiance ( ), duration sunshine ( ) and daylight hours ( ). Since it has been observed that each model is adequate for some months of the year, one model cannot be used for the prediction of the whole year. Therefore, a smart hybrid system is proposed which selects, based on the intelligent rules, the most suitable prediction model of the 14 models listed in this study. For the test and evaluation of the proposed models, Tamanrasset city, which is located in the south of Algeria, is selected for this study. The meteorological data sets of five years (2000–2004) have been collected from the Algerian National Office of Meteorology (NOM), and two spatial databases. The results indicate that the new hybrid model is capable of predicting the monthly global solar radiation, which offers an excellent measuring accuracy of values ranging from 93% to 97% in this location.

关键词： global solar radiation statistical indicator hybrid model spatial database correlation coefficients

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Midline2 is overexpressed and a prognostic indicator in human breast cancer and promotes breast cancer

《医学前沿（英文）》 2021年第15卷第6期页码 942-942 doi: 10.1007/s11684-021-0876-z

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Screening of indicator pharmaceuticals and personal care products in landfill leachates: a case study

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2023年第17卷第9期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-023-1716-y

摘要：

● A systematic framework was developed to identify i-PPCPs for landfill leachate.

关键词： Landfill leachates PPCPs Indicator Screening criteria Source-specificity

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Investigating the role of exiting vehicles and turn indicator usage in gap acceptance at single-lane

Nathan P. BELZ

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2017年第11卷第1期页码 8-16 doi: 10.1007/s11709-016-0365-7

摘要： Roundabouts are becoming a preferred form of intersection control type due to their safety and capacity benefits. Yield control at roundabout entries inherently reduces fuel consumption and emissions when compared to other conventional intersection types. However, these benefits can be limited by poor driver behavior and judgment when entering the roundabout. This research addresses the nature of gap distributions and use of turn indicators by exiting vehicles at three single-lane roundabouts in Vermont, New York, and Alaska. Presented here is a comparison of vehicle headways measured at two different locations in each roundabout. Rejected headways are analyzed in the context of priority abstaining events when entering drivers yield to vehicles exiting on the same leg of the roundabout suggesting that “true” critical gaps are being overestimated. Results indicate that exiting vehicles, particularly those that do not use their turn indicators when departing from the major-stream of traffic have an influence on the entry decision of drivers on the same approach. This behavior is of particular concern for intersection efficiency (i.e., delay) and sustainability (i.e., excess fuel consumption and emissions). Results prompt the consideration of more consistent guidance on and enforcement of turn indicator use during roundabout negotiations.

关键词： roundabouts exiting vehicles turn indicator use headways

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Modeling effects of a tidal barrage on water quality indicator distribution in the Severn Estuary

Guanghai GAO, Roger A. FALCONER, Binliang LIN

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2013年第7卷第2期页码 211-218 doi: 10.1007/s11783-012-0464-1

摘要： In this study, emphasis has focused on assessing the potential hydro-environmental impacts of a barrage across the Severn Estuary, with a numerical model being developed and applied to the estuary to assess the impacts of proposed Severn Barrage on the hydrodynamic, sediment transport and faecal indicator organism distribution within the estuary. The results show that the Severn Barrage has the potential to reduce the tidal currents in a highly dynamic estuary. This leads to the reduction of suspended sediment concentrations, which in turn affects the bacterial transport processes which is highly related to the sediment transport processes.

关键词： water quality indicator Severn Estuary numerical model tidal energy

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Water environment security indicator system for urban water management

Tian HAO, Pengfei DU, Yun GAO

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2012年第6卷第5期页码 678-691 doi: 10.1007/s11783-012-0450-7

摘要： Water environment security (WES) is defined in terms of three aspects: first, that it meets basic demands due to industrial and domestic usage; second, that it protects public health from acute and chronic threats; and third, that measures are adopted to ensure sustainable ecological functioning of freshwater resources. Limitations associated with current water environment security indicators in China — including inefficiency in terms of environmental monitoring, inappropriate indicators and parameters that do not take sufficient account of local water characteristics, and a lack of management targets — leads to a failure of effective water management. To achieve better water environment management, a systematic approach, encompassing several steps including establish ideal indicator system and narrow down the scope, screen priority pollutants, identify local characteristics and organize discussion workshop, should be followed to establish a comprehensive water environment indicator system. A case study in Suzhou is included to demonstrate the detailed operational procedures used to assess the risks associated with poor management practices relating to water environment security as well as design an appropriate water environment security indicator system.

关键词： water environment security supervision and management monitoring parameter indicator system Suzhou

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Factor analysis for the statistical modeling of earthquake-induced landslides

Jeng-Wen LIN, Meng-Hsun HSIEH, Yu-Jen LI

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2020年第14卷第1期页码 123-126 doi: 10.1007/s11709-019-0582-y

摘要： Earthquake-induced landslides are difficult to assess and predict owing to the inherent unpredictability of earthquakes. In most existing studies, the landslide potential is statistically assessed by collecting and analyzing the data of historical landslide events and earthquake observation records. Unlike rainfall-induced landslides, earthquake-induced landslides cannot be predicted in advance using real-time monitoring systems, and the development of the models for these landslides should instead depend on early earthquake warnings and estimations. Hence, in this study, factor analysis was performed and the frequency distribution method was employed to investigate the potential risk of the landslides caused by earthquakes. Factors such as the slope gradient, lithology (geology), aspect, and elevation were selected and classified as influential factors to facilitate the construction of a landslide database for the area of study.

关键词： earthquake factor analysis slope landslides statistical modeling

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Analysis on the distinguishing features of traditional Chinese therapeutics and related statistical issues

Jingqing Hu, Jie Qiao, Deying Kang, Baoyan Liu

《医学前沿（英文）》 2011年第5卷第2期页码 203-207 doi: 10.1007/s11684-011-0138-6

摘要： Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) is one of the rarely existing ancient traditional medicines that hold systematic theories as well as preventative and therapeutic methods for diseases in practice. From the 1950s, such research methods as mathematics, statistics, and data mining (DM) have been gradually introduced to TCM studies, making it more scientific. Meanwhile, the distinct features of TCM theories and diagnostic-model have constantly challenged the methodology of statistics. This paper introduces the following scientific features of traditional Chinese therapeutics: 1) its goal is to balance the functions and conditions of human body; 2) it emphasizes on holism and individualization; 3) it stresses the longitudinal regulation and evaluation mode, which is a circle of syndrome diagnosis, treatment and evaluation; 4) the interventions of TCM are abundant, compound and natural; and 5) humanistic thought is everywhere. Some statistical problems are raised based on these features. First, complex statistical methods that can analyze subjective indexes and latent variables, multidimensional and multistage data, non-equilibrium designed studies, and longitudinal data are required. Second, comprehensive evaluation on multiple-target mechanism has been brought in by combination treatment. Third, there is a need to analyze how humanity and related cultural factors may influence the effect of interventions. Thus, promoting implemented studies of statistics as well as carrying out the TCM scientific propositions have become the common expectations of both TCM and modern medicine.

关键词： traditional Chinese therapeutics feature statistic

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China’s Agriculture Green Development: from Concept to Actions

《农业科学与工程前沿（英文）》 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2023512

摘要：

● A target-threshold indicator evaluation system is proposed to measure China’s agriculture transformation.

关键词： agricultural transformation Agriculture Green Development historical trend indicator system theoretical conception

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Recent development on statistical methods for personalized medicine discovery

null

《医学前沿（英文）》 2013年第7卷第1期页码 102-110 doi: 10.1007/s11684-013-0245-7

摘要：

It is well documented that patients can show significant heterogeneous responses to treatments so the best treatment strategies may require adaptation over individuals and time. Recently, a number of new statistical methods have been developed to tackle the important problem of estimating personalized treatment rules using single-stage or multiple-stage clinical data. In this paper, we provide an overview of these methods and list a number of challenges.

关键词： dynamic treatment regimes personalized medicine reinforcement learning Q-learning

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Statistical considerations for genomic selection

Huimin KANG, Lei ZHOU, Jianfeng LIU

《农业科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2017年第4卷第3期页码 268-278 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2017164

摘要： Genomic selection is becoming increasingly important in animal and plant breeding, and is attracting greater attention for human disease risk prediction. This review covers the most commonly used statistical methods and some extensions of them, i.e., ridge regression and genomic best linear unbiased prediction, Bayesian alphabet, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. Then it discusses the measurement of the performance of genomic selection and factors affecting the prediction of performance. Among the measurements of prediction performance, the most important and commonly used measurement is prediction accuracy. In simulation studies where true breeding values are available, accuracy of genomic estimated breeding value can be calculated directly. In real or industrial data studies, either training-testing approach or -fold cross-validation is commonly employed to validate methods. Factors influencing the accuracy of genomic selection include linkage disequilibrium between markers and quantitative trait loci, genetic architecture of the trait, and size and composition of the training population. Genomic selection has been implemented in the breeding programs of dairy cattle, beef cattle, pigs and poultry. Genomic selection in other species has also been intensively researched, and is likely to be implemented in the near future.

关键词： genomic estimated breeding value genomic selection linkage disequilibrium statistical methods

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Statistical process control with intelligence using fuzzy ART neural networks

Min WANG, Tao ZAN, Renyuan FEI,

《机械工程前沿（英文）》 2010年第5卷第2期页码 149-156 doi: 10.1007/s11465-010-0008-y

摘要： With the automation development of manufacturing processes, artificial intelligence technology has been gradually employed to increase the automation and intelligence degree in quality control using statistical process control (SPC) method. In this paper, an SPC method based on a fuzzy adaptive resonance theory (ART) neural network is presented. The fuzzy ART neural network is applied to recognize the special disturbance of the manufacturing processes based on the classification on the histograms, which shows that the fuzzy ART neural network can adaptively learn the features of the histograms of the quality parameters in manufacturing processes. As a result, the special disturbance can be automatically detected when a feature of the special disturbance starts to appear in the histograms. At the same time, combined with spectrum analysis of the autoregressive model of quality parameters, the fuzzy ART neural network can also be utilized to adaptively detect the abnormal patterns in the control chart.

关键词： statistical process control (SPC) fuzzy adaptive resonance theory (ART) histogram control chart time series analysis

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Assessment of temporal and spatial variations in water quality using multivariate statistical methods

Xue LI,Pengjing LI,Dong WANG,Yuqiu WANG

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2014年第8卷第6期页码 895-904 doi: 10.1007/s11783-014-0736-z

摘要： This study evaluated the temporal and spatial variations of water quality data sets for the Xin'anjiang River through the use of multivariate statistical techniques, including cluster analysis (CA), discriminant analysis (DA), correlation analysis, and principal component analysis (PCA). The water samples, measured by ten parameters, were collected every month for three years (2008–2010) from eight sampling stations located along the river. The hierarchical CA classified the 12 months into three periods (First, Second and Third Period) and the eight sampling sites into three groups (Groups 1, 2 and 3) based on seasonal differences and various pollution levels caused by physicochemical properties and anthropogenic activities. DA identified three significant parameters (temperature, pH and ) to distinguish temporal groups with close to 76% correct assignment. The DA also discovered five parameters (temperature, electricity conductivity, total nitrogen, chemical oxygen demand and total phosphorus) for spatial variation analysis, with 80.56% correct assignment. The non–parametric correlation coefficient (Spearman R) explained the relationship between the water quality parameters and the basin characteristics, and the GIS made the results visual and direct. The PCA identified four PCs for Groups 1 and 2, and three PCs for Group 3. These PCs captured 68.94%, 67.48% and 70.35% of the total variance of Groups 1, 2 and 3, respectively. Although natural pollution affects the Xin'anjiang River, the main sources of pollution included agricultural activities, industrial waste, and domestic wastewater.

关键词： Xin'anjiang River multivariable statistical analysis temporal variation spatial variation water quality

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Midline2 is overexpressed and a prognostic indicator in human breast cancer and promotes breast cancer

null

《医学前沿（英文）》 2016年第10卷第1期页码 41-51 doi: 10.1007/s11684-016-0429-z

摘要：

Midline2 (MID2) is an ubiquitin-conjugating E2 enzyme linked to tumor progression and a novel interacting partner of breast cancer 1, early-onset (BRCA1). However, the role of MID2 in breast cancer remains unknown. This study investigated the expression, prognostic value, and role of MID2 in breast cancer. The expression of MID2 mRNA and protein was significantly upregulated in breast cancer tissue and established cell lines compared with that in normal breast epithelial cells and paired adjacent non-tumor tissue (P<0.001). Immunohistochemical analysis demonstrated that MID2 was overexpressed in 272 of 284 (95.8%) paraffin-embedded, archived breast cancer tissue. Moreover, MID2 expression increased with advanced clinical stage (P<0.001). High MID2 expression was significantly associated with advanced clinical stages and T, N, and M staging (all P<0.05). Univariate and multivariate analyses indicated that high MID2 expression was an independent prognostic factor for poor overall survival in the entire cohort (93.73 vs. 172.1 months; P<0.001, log-rank test) and in subgroups with stages Tis+ I+ II and III+ IV. Furthermore, 3-(4,5-dimethyl-2-thiazolyl)-2,5-diphenyl-2H-tetrazolium bromide colony formation, and anchorage-independent growth ability assays were conducted. Results showed that siRNA silencing of MID2 expression significantly reduced MCF-7 and MDA-MB-231 cell proliferation in vitro and blocked the growth of MDA-MB-231 cell xenograft tumors in vivo (P<0.05). This study indicated that MID2 may be a novel prognostic marker and interventional target in breast cancer.

关键词： breast cancer MID2 proliferation overall survival xenograft

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Application of statistical design for the production of inulinase by

M. DILIPKUMAR, M. RAJASIMMAN, N. RAJAMOHAN

《化学科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2011年第5卷第4期页码 463-470 doi: 10.1007/s11705-011-1112-1

摘要： A Plackett-Burman design was employed for screening 18 nutrient components for the production of inulinase using sp. and pressmud as the substrate via solid-state fermentation (SSF). From the experiments, three nutrients viz. yeast extract, FeSO ·7H O, and NH NO were found to be the most significant components. Hence these three components were selected and optimized using Response Surface Methodology (RSM). The optimum conditions are: yeast extract 0.00274 g/gds, FeSO ·7H O 0.00011 g/gds and NH NO 0.00772 g/gds. The effect of the substrate concentration and initial moisture content were also studied. A substrate concentration of 12 g and an initial moisture content of 65% are optimum for the maximum production of inulinase (89 U/gds).

关键词： inulinase pressmud Response Surface Methodology (RSM) streptomyces sp